Moody’s Investors Service on Thursday said most rated companies in India have buffers to withstand a further 10-15% depreciation of the rupee.
The rupee depreciated by 8 paise to close at 77.76 against the U.S. dollar on Thursday, weighed down by elevated crude oil prices and persistent foreign capital outflows.
In a statement, Moody’s said the rupee has depreciated around 4.5% since the start of the year.
Higher energy prices and interest rates in developed economies have led to capital outflows and rising commodity prices, pressuring the rupee.
“While these external factors will heighten credit risks associated with currency volatility, most rated companies in India have buffers to withstand a further 10-15% depreciation of the rupee,” Moody’s said.
The rupee’s depreciation is credit negative for companies that generate revenue in rupees but rely heavily on U.S. dollar debt to fund operations, as well as for those with significant dollar-based costs, such as raw materials and capital spending. However, the negative credit implications for rated companies will be limited.
“Most rated companies have protections to limit the effect of currency fluctuations. These include natural hedges in the form of revenue and costs denominated in or linked to the U.S. dollar, some U.S. dollar revenue and financial hedges, or a combination of these factors, which help limit the adverse effects on cash flow and leverage, even under a more severe deprecation scenario,” Moody’s said.
Exporters could benefit as their services or products become cheaper and therefore more competitive in the global market.
However, in the current macroeconomic environment, the benefit will be likely limited amid weak global demand and rising inflation, Moody’s added.
